Welcome to week 7 my friends as we get you prepared for some great bargain plays this week. Let’s review last week’s bargain plays and see if they were a hit or a miss.
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals ($6,300) 23.8 points
D’Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions ($6,300) 17.7 points
Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos ($5,000) 9.8 points
Keenan Allen, WR, LA Chargers ($6,400) 10 points
Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals ($5,300) 7.4 points
Van Jefferson Jr, WR, LA Rams ($3,400) 4.9 points
Ricky Seals-Jones, TE, Washington Football Team ($3,000) 15.8 points
Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens ($5,900) 7.5 points
Browns DST ($2600) -2 points
Back-to-back ugly weeks with getting just two 3X+ plus players. It wasn’t a great week, but like I’ve said before, DraftKings wouldn’t be in business if all we did was win. They (DraftKings) win 85% and more of all the money that is played. That is why they are so big. Anyways, Burrow did what I expected. Swift was not there for three quarters and came close to 3X but fell just short. Ricky Seals-Jones was an absolute smash and everything after that can be just forgotten about. Did you win this week? If you said yes, congratulations! If you said no, welcome to this week’s bargain plays!
Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins ($5,500)
Tua came back from a three-game absence and absolutely balled out, going 33-of-47 for 329 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. The interception was questionable on Tua because he threw it directly to the defensive back. Either the receiver ran the wrong route or Tua just underthrew it. Either way, Tagovailoa is knocking off the rust and gets another juicy matchup at home against the Atlanta Falcons whose secondary has been struggling like crazy.
Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,100)
Miles Sanders’ value since week 1 has dropped $1,400 and now is the time to pounce on it. He hasn’t been the most productive running back, but he has been on the field more than fellow running back Kenny Gainwell. Sanders’ usage this season has been at a minimum, which is puzzling , but I’m going back to the well as the Eagles take on the Las Vegas Raiders, who have been giving up a lot of yards to running backs. It didn’t pan out last week for Javonte Williams like I hoped, but I think it will this week for Sanders as he’s looking to get his first touchdown of the season.
J.D. McKissic, RB, Washington Football Team ($5,000)
Wow, thank you DraftKings for giving us a free square this week in J.D. McKissic. If you’re not sure about DraftKings scoring, they are full PPR, and what is McKissic known for? Catching the ball. For the season, McKissic has been an every other week type of play where he cashes in one week, and busts the following. With Antonio Gibson looking to be limited , McKissic will be the top back for WFT, but going into Green Bay and taking on Aaron Rodgers and company should lead to many catches for McKissic, which will lead to what should be a nice amount of total yards and a touchdown or two.
Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ( $5,900)
For the first time this season, Chris Godwin is under $6,000 on DraftKings and I am super excited. Godwin is also the cheapest of Tom Brady’s top three receivers this week. Brady is the third-most expensive quarterback, but if you want to pair a receiver with him, Godwin is the best value to use going up against the Chicago Bears where he is looking to get back on track and end his four-week touchdown spell. He should get around 100 yards and a touchdown.
Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants ( $5,600)
Welcome back Sterling Shepard. After a two-game absence, Shepard picked up right where he left off catching 10-of-14 targets for 76 yards. The Carolina Panthers pass defense is one of the best in the league, but with how bad the Giants offense is, they are going to have to pass just to keep up with so Daniel Jones will be passing to his #1 early and often.
Rashod Bateman, WR, Baltimore Ravens ($3,400)
After being put on IR and undergoing groin surgery, Bateman came into week 6 to tie in team-leading targets with Mark Andrews. It’s hard to believe that the rookie would be the top dog over Marquise Brown, but he may be. Slowly but surely, Bateman will carve a significant role in this offense. Especially in a game that has shootout potential. To use as a throw-in on a lineup could easily 4X+ this week and I will be trying to get him in as many lineups as possible.
T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit Lions ($5,100)
The Lions true WR1 is the tight end, and if you play fantasy, you already know this. T.J. Hockenson had three quiet games prior to last week’s 15.4 points at the cost of $5,000. The $100 increase is a deal you need to jump on this week. The Lions were down fast and early in this game. I see the same thing happening as Matthew Stafford returns to Detroit for a homecoming and has the LA Rams up fast against the Lions. Detroit is going to have to pass… a lot.. Hockenson saw 11 targets last week and I can see him getting closer to 15 targets, with 10 catches, over 100 yards and a touchdown or two.
BONUS PLAY OF THE WEEK:
Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots ($5,700)
A home game against the New York Jets. What better way than to go the ground and pound way of playing football and controlling the clock. Damien Harris is off the injury report and all systems are a go for him. Last week he carried the ball 18 times for 101 yards and a touchdown. This Jets anemic offense will be one that Bill Belichick’s defense should be able to contain, meaning more time for the Patriots offense to be on the field. The Jets defense will be trying to do everything they can to stop Harris, but with the way he plays I can see close to 20 carries, over 100 total yards and a couple of touchdowns.
DEFENSE I’M PLAYING WITH CONFIDENCE:
Arizona Cardinals ($3,100)
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front seven is one to fear. This defense has 6 interceptions, 7 fumble recoveries and 17 sacks. Last week I was on Cleveland and boy was that the wrong call. Hope to change that this week as the Cardinals get the Houston Texans coming to town who just got dismantled by the Indianapolis Colts. Arizona’s defense is a lot better than the Colts and this week I feel a lot better with this pick than I did last week.
Best of luck this week and be sure to check out the latest episode of the Loaded Box Podcast as we discuss our favorite against-the-spread picks for Week 7 of the 2021 NFL Season!