Week 3 Recap –
Cash Game Lineup – 166.9 points, Very solid week for cash games. If you used this lineup then you definitely cashed in any double ups and the majority of your h2hs. Miles Sanders as my cash lock could have been better but the Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett stack smashed for a combined 79.8 points.
Tournament Lineup – 177.24 points, Not too bad on tournaments either. The Jared Goff and Cooper Kupp stack was great process. James Conner carried the lineup as the sneaky flex RB play.
CASH GAME PLAYS
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks – $5,400
Mr. Fitzpatrick is in classic early-season form. He should not be this inexpensive. This matchup against the Seahawks perfectly sets him up to throw the ball at a career-high pace. Being slated against this defense that has not stopped any other quarterback yet this year will allow him to constantly be in catch up mode. Ryan Fitzpatrick is without a doubt the best value at QB on this slate. 3x is his floor.
Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions – $8,000
Kamara is the number one running back so far this season and I do not see him slowing down. He owns almost all of the receiving work on that team, especially with Michael Thomas out and now Jared Cook being doubtful for this game in Detroit. His workload on the ground against a horrible rushing defense and his target share makes him one of the best plays on the slate.
Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings @ Houston Texans – $7,600
**CASH GAME LOCK OF THE WEEK**
I am just copy + pasting my logic from last week. If a workhorse back is facing the Houston Texans, it is a must play. Cook is one of the most talented running backs in and league and I expect him to outscore what we got out of James Conner last week.
Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns – $7,300
I see no way that Elliott can be phased out of this game. I can see this offense flowing through him this week against a Cleveland team that can slow down the pace of play.
Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas Raiders vs. Buffalo Bills – $4,600
There are multiple levels to this pick. I am attacking the slot corner for Buffalo once again. It is very clear that when scheming against the Bills, NFL coaches have looked to attack their them with their slot receiver. Cooper Kupp was magical last week and I expect Renfrow to do the same thing this week. Two other starting receivers (Henry Ruggs and Bryan Edwards) for the Raiders are out this week which should funnel even more targets to him.
Brandin Cooks, Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings – $4,500
The Vikings’ secondary is just begging to be attacked once again. There are still question marks surrounding who is actually the number one receiver in Houston. Cooks may not have the fantasy points to prove it, but his air yards and targets are very close to Will Fuller. It could only take a few plays for Cooks to reach value this Sunday. He may not have the floor of a typical cash-game receiver but at this price, and the floor from the running backs, it is worth the risk.
Zach Pascal, Indianapolis Colts @ Chicago Bears – $4,400
Just when you thought 2020 could not get any worse. We are back on the Zach Pascal “next man up” free square hype train.
TJ Hockenson, Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints – $4,800
TJ Hockenson is putting up a great season so far. As a tight end that is top 5 in important metrics such as yards per target and yards after the catch, he should not be sub 5k. Averaging 12 points per game with only one touchdown on the year sets him up for not only a great floor but boom upside if he finds the endzone.
Los Angelas Chargers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $2,900
They pressure the QB and TB12 may or may not be dust. Defense is still random so whatever.
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars – $6,300
This is about to be Smokin’ Joe Burrow’s true break out game. He has been able to average 23.1 fantasy point per game on DraftKings while facing defenses that are better than average against the QB. The Jaguars’ defense is in the bottom five when it comes to yards per attempt. Burrow will be picking them apart all day, and to mention that Burrow is top 4 in pass attempts inside the 20 AND the 10 yard line.
Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings @ Houston Texans – $5,500
Best pick on the slate. See above
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots – $6,400
I really want a piece of this game. I think the players who will focus on Patrick Mahomes and his pass catchers will end up regretting it. Last week, Josh Jacobs was able to average 4.4 YPC against this Patriots’ defense. They are clearly a run funnel and I expect the Chiefs to start off hot by leaning on the run and set the pace early.
Darrell Henderson, Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants – $5,800
Henderson has been ramping up towards workhorse status. He might not be playing every snap but he is dominating the running back touches. 20 rushing attempts last week and the pace of play this week should lead to the same result. Especially against such a poor defense in the New York Giants. Darrell Henderson is also dominating the redzone rushing attempts. Expect a few more this week.
D.J. Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals – $6,000
Chark is back. He seems to be the motor that drives the guy with the moustache. This game has full shootout potential and I am seriously investing in it. Both Gardner Minshew and Joe Burrow have something to prove. D.J. should be targeted down the field very often.
A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars – $5,500
**TOURNAMENT LOCK OF THE WEEK**
This guy needs to go off. This is the week. His air yards and targets will come through. Burrow targets him in the redzone but they just have not found a connection yet. It is a good sign that he continues to look for Green and I expect it to finally align on Sunday. With the volume that he is seeing, he has a very high ceiling. Nothing in this matchup shows me that it is unobtainable.
DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks – $5,700
Just lock up the the alpha receiver against the Seahawks. Game after game they have been able to see the volume because of the pace of play. Facing this Seattle team raises the ceiling for all opposing wide receivers. Parker is not close to his proper price.
Evan Engram, New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams – $4,400
This is exactly what a tournament tight end pick looks like. Engram has slowly slid below that popular tier of tight ends. Everyone knows he has the athletic ability to be a top-5 option, but the position itself is extremely volatile. If he is going to pop off at all this season, this is his chance. The Rams’ defense have given up points every week to the tight end position. I can see the Giants scheming plays for Engram throughout this game.
Cleveland Browns @ Dallas Cowboys – $2,300
The Browns can pressure the QB and I expect this game to hit the under.
TOURNAMENT STACK OF THE WEEK
Joe Burrow + A.J. Green
Run it back with D.J. Chark
Be sure to check out the latest episode of the Loaded Box Podcast as we provide our straight up & against the spread picks for each game on the week-three schedule!