The top-three quarterbacks, according to their most-recent average draft position, can all make a case for being this upcoming fantasy season’s top-selected QB.
This trio includes Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck, and while Mahomes’ current ADP is 18 picks higher than Rodgers’ and 20 higher than Luck’s, the choice for 2019’s QB1 is far from clear cut.
Take a look below at the reasons behind selecting each of these guys as the top quarterback in your 2019 fantasy football draft, and let us know who is your QB1 in the comment section below or on Twitter!
Option 1: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
Mahomes was far and away the quarterback to own last season in fantasy football. In fact, Mahomes and his 431 fantasy points was 71 points more than second place, Matt Ryan.
For comparison sake, the point differential between Mahomes as QB1 and Ryan as QB2 was nearly the same as the point differential between Ryan and Tom Brady, who finished QB12.
His record-setting season was highlighted by the fact that his 5,097 yards and 50 passing touchdowns came in just his second season in the league – and his first as the team’s true starter. While the game has changed to be more offensive-player friendly, Mahomes’ stats compare to Dan Marino’s record-setting second season when he totaled 5,084 yards and 48 touchdowns.
It appeared that Mahomes’ potential was among the NFL elites until a pair of teammates found themselves in some trouble.
During the 2018 season, running back Kareem Hunt was released for his role in an altercation involving a female, and while the Chiefs’ offense was still near the top of the league in regards to production, the loss of Hunt clearly impacted the team’s ability to operate at its top efficiency.
On top of the loss of Hunt, the future of wide receiver Tyreek Hill is now uncertain with his situation regarding the mistreatment of his son.
Can Mahomes perform at a QB1 level without both Hunt and Hill? I believe he can. But the loss of Hunt, the potential loss of Hill, and the natural regression that seems likely from both Mahomes and the Chiefs in general opens the door for a couple of other quarterbacks to claim the top spot in 2019.
Option 2: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
The most complete quarterback in the NFL is always a legitimate contender to lead the position in fantasy scoring, right?
Rodgers finished as QB7 last year after putting up a fairly pedestrian season – by Aaron Rodgers standards, anyways.
Despite throwing for over 4,400 yards, the Packers’ signal caller tossed just 25 touchdown passes, the lowest total in a season he’s played all 16 games.
Even with his lower touchdown output, Rodgers still supported last season’s WR4 in half-point-per reception leagues as Davante Adams posted career highs in receptions (111), yards (1,386) and touchdowns (13).
Rodgers is starting with a clean slate in 2019 as the Packers are now coached by Matt LaFleur after Mike McCarthy was fired after a Week 13 loss to the Arizona Cardinals last season.
While LaFleur will look to implement his system in Green Bay, I’m expecting the Packers to play more towards Rodgers’ strengths, which should bring his touchdown total back up over 30 while still throwing for around 4,500 yards.
There’s definitely a lack of proven playmakers at the wide receiver position outside of Adams as Geronimo Allison hasn’t played a full 16-game season in three years while Equanimeous St. Brown, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Jake Kumerow are all entering just their second NFL season.
Rodgers does have a season under his belt with tight end Jimmy Graham and the team added Jace Sternberger in the third round of the 2019 NFL Draft, but if Rodgers plans on earning the title of QB1 he’s going to have to continue to elevate the play of those around him, which we all know he’s more than capable of doing.
Option 3: Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts
After sitting out the 2017 season, Luck turned into a steal for fantasy owners in ’18 after finishing as QB5 despite a fairly high ADP due to the question marks surrounding his health.
Now that Luck has put the injury behind him, and the team has made significant improvements to the offensive line, Luck is once again in a position to be considered as the No. 1 QB off the board in fantasy football.
The chemistry has always been there between Luck and T.Y. Hilton, and even though recently acquired WR Devin Funchess hasn’t been the most reliable fantasy receiver since he’s been in the league, there’s a solid chance ’19 will be his best fantasy season to date with Luck tossing him the rock.
Luck had arguably the best season of his career last year after throwing for 4,593 yards and 39 touchdowns while only being sacked 18 times (compared to taking 41 sacks in ’17).
If Luck was your fantasy quarterback last season and you didn’t make the playoffs, it was most likely due to lack of productivity from your running backs and wide receivers. Between weeks 4-12 – the bulk of the fantasy season that determines if you’re going to make the playoffs or not – Luck tossed 27 touchdown passes and never had less than three TD passes in a single week during this time span.
Colts’ running back Marlon Mack showed flashes when healthy last season, so more carries/touches may be in store for him in 2019, but the emergence of a run game may in fact help Luck as defenses will have to respect Indianapolis’ run game, making Luck and his use of play action even more effective.
Do you have a favorite at the quarterback position in fantasy football this year? Let’s hear your thoughts in the comments below or let us know on Twitter!
Be sure to check out the latest episode of the Loaded Box Podcast as the guys discuss the over/under win totals for each team in the NFC!
Check out our 2019 fantasy football position-by-position rankings