Welcome to week 15 my friends as we get you prepared for some great bargain plays this week. Let’s review last week’s bargain plays and see if they were a hit or a miss.
Joe Burrow, Quarterback, Cincinnati Bengals ($6,000): 25.22 points
Saquon Barkley, Running Back, New York Giants ($6,000): 18.5 points
Antonio Gibson, Running Back, Washington Football Team ($6,000): 5.1 points
Amari Cooper, Wide Receiver, Dallas Cowboys ($5,900): 16.1 points
Julio Jones, Wide Receiver, Tennessee Titans ($5,400): 7.3 points
Joshua Palmer, Wide Receiver, Los Angeles Chargers ($3,000): 17.6 points
Austin Hooper, Tight End, Cleveland Browns ($3,400): 14 points
Josh Jacobs, Running Back, Las Vegas Raiders ($6,200): 11 points
Cleveland Browns ($2,700): 14 points
When I first started watching the Cincinnati/ San Francisco game, Joe Burrow was doing…. less than ideal. Thank god Ja’Marr Chase showed up catching two touchdowns (should have had three) as Burrow finished 25-of-34 for 348 yards and two touchdowns making his DK day well worth the bargain play as he was 4X for the week.
Thank god for his receiving touchdown or Saquon Barkley would have had a mediocre game against a Chargers’ run defense that ranks near the bottom of the league; but 19 total opportunities for the day was solid for Barkley as he was able to 3X it for the week.
The whole Washington Football Team crapped the bed against the Dallas Cowboys and playing Antonio Gibson was a bad call on my end. He had 10 carries for the first time since week 6, and I was even more amped up for him with J.D. McKissic out, but it just looked like no one on that team was ready for week 14. On the opposite end, the Dallas Cowboys had a better game with Amari Cooper being the spotlight. He was third in targets on the team but was able to catch Dak Prescott’s only touchdown of the day. It wasn’t the best game from Cooper, but at his cost, I’ll take it.
Julio Jones did the majority of his damage against the Jaguars in the first half as the running game and defense of Tennessee did the rest. Maybe next week Julio will have a more competitive game as the Titans will have to actually try against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
After saying everyone was going to play Jalen Guyton as the free square, I feel good about the fact that I offered a $400 savings with the recommendation of Josh Palmer. You can’t be too upset about using Guyton like every other person/site said to, but for the difference of .1 points between Guyton and Palmer, Palmer was in 3.5% of lineups and led the team in targets as he filled in for Keenan Allen.
Tied for second on the team in targets, Austin Hooper had quite a day finishing as the TE5 for the week catching five-of-seven targets for a not-so-great 30 yards, but was able to get a 1-yard touchdown reception from Baker Mayfield in the first half. Just like I say all the time, tight end is just a touchdown or bust. Look at Travis Kelce’s stats over the last few weeks if you don’t believe me.
It was all downhill for Josh Jacobs this week as he fumbled his first carry of the game and the ground game just couldn’t get anything going as the Chiefs continued their Vegas domination for eight quarters now. Whoops.
Finally, how about the Cleveland Browns! Finishing as the #4 DST being tied with Washington for the best bargain play for the week!
What a week it was in bargain bins as we got back on track going 6/9 (67%)! I hope you guys were able to use the six good ones I recommended and not the three that bombed in my face! If you guys have been following this series, you will see we win some and lose some (with more losses than wins since we’re talking strictly bargains), but that feeling when you smash with a bargain play is like no other. Like I’ve said in the past and I’m going to remind you every week is that we get to start each week with a clean slate.
So let’s get some bargains for week 15!
Ben Roethlisberger, Quarterback, Pittsburgh Steelers ($5,600)
Yes, I know Big Ben’s arm is shot. I also know it’s hard to choke this down as you see him as a bargain player too this week. The dink-and-dunk game has been working so far this year forRoethlisberger as we’ve seen Najee Harris have 10+ catches in a game. The emergence of rookie tight end Pat Freiermuth has also been a big help. Finally, how can I forget Dionte Johnson? What do these players all have in common? They all play close to the line and are relevant. The Steelers lost a close game to the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday night but come back this week to a juicy home matchup against the Tennessee Titans who rank 28th in the league against the quarterback position. Pittsburgh is still in the playoff hunt and coach Mike Tomlin should carry the same game plan he used in the second half of the Vikings game.
Myles Gaskin, Running Back, Miami Dolphins (5,600)
As long as he comes off the Covid-19 list, Gaskin should have a stellar week against the New York Jets. Gaskin has been a bell-cow running back getting 16+ opportunities in the running and passing game. Coming off a bye, and hopefully healthy enough to play after Covid, Gaskin could be looking at 20+ opportunities as the Miami Dolphins should pull away fast, especially with their solid defense that should easily tame the Jets’ offense. Run the ball, control the game, set up the pass and win the game. I see a blowout in this one. Could Gaskin be looking north of 20 rush attempts? Yes, if he can handle it, and he should easily find the end zone at least one time. But I see multiple touchdowns from him and well over 100 total yards.
Rashaad Penny, Running Back, Seattle Seahawks ($5,400)
We all should have listened to Pete Caroll when he said that Rashaad Penny was going to be a “big part” of the game against the Houston Texans… because he was. Penny rushed a season-high 16 times for a season-high 137 yards and two touchdowns. Caroll stated Monday that Penny deserves the chance to be the lead back, but in a rotation. We have seen Penny have games like this. Anyone remember last year when he was outplaying Chris Carson before getting hurt…. again. Penny has not been a model of health since being drafted in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft. Going against the Los Angeles Rams is a tough matchup as they held James Conner under 40 yards last Monday night, but did give up two touchdowns. We know how the Seahawks want to run the ball, but can they? Absolutely, the fear is can Penny repeat a similar performance like he did in week 14 or will we see (or not see) the running back that we’ve seen all season. I love the risk/reward on this one and will happily have a few lineups that include Penny.
Contrarian play: With the Seahawks game being moved to Tuesday, I’m going with James Robinson ($5,400). Teams just run against the Houston Texans almost as much as any other team. That defense is in shambles and the Jaguars fired Urban Meyer. We should see the James Robinson that we saw in 2020. Have him in all your lineups!!
Julio Jones, Wide Receiver, Tennessee Titans ($5,400)
Going back to the well in back-to-back weeks on Julio Jones whose cost did not go up as Jones wasn’t needed much in the 20-0 victory, but did see six targets in the game, which was his highest since week 2 where we saw the Julio Jones that we loved from Atlanta. This week’s game should be more competitive against the Pittsburgh Steelers who should be throwing early and often. AJ Brown is out again giving Jones the chance to produce a WR1 week. He hasn’t scored double-digit points since week 2, but that dry streak should end this week as this game has shootout potential, which is what you want when setting lineups.
DeVante Parker, Wide Receiver, Miami Dolphins ($4,300)
When setting your lineups you may hesitate to see OPRK: 7th in the red and think, why use him against a defense that’s so good against the pass? That’s just laughable in my mind as teams this year have just ran the ball the majority of the time against the Jets, which just limits the passing game because, well, it just wasn’t needed. Tua Tagovailoa has a star wide receiver in the making in Jaylen Waddle ($6,600) but how can we forget about Parker? Coming off injured reserve from a shoulder injury, Parker was able to catch all five of his targets for 62 yards. I call that a good “knock the rust off” type of game as he was playing all over the field and had no setbacks. Coming out of the bye, Parker should be close to 100% and should have somewhere in the 7-9 target range, possibly over 100 yards if he catches a deep one and a good chance at a touchdown.
Allen Lazard, Wide Receiver, Green Bay Packers ($4,000)
Aaron Rodgers has been on a tear over the last three weeks as he has thrown 10 touchdowns and gone over 300 yards in each game. The true benefactor is Davante Adams ($8,900) who has only multiplied a few times this season, and wouldn’t be bad stacking with Rodgers, but the one I’m looking at is Allen Lazard. He’s the cheapest of Rodgers’ three receivers and looks to be over his shoulder injury. Last week’s seven targets were a season high and he’s looking like he has gained more of Rodgers’ trust moving forward against the Baltimore Ravens’ depleted secondary. I can see Lazard getting 6-7 targets again, 50 plus yards and a chance for another touchdown.
Brevin Jordan, Tight End, Houston Texans ($2,800)
Wow, talk about a bargain-bin play here as it’s like the clearance rack after Christmas to get rid of all the decorations. The rookie has been rolling as he has a touchdown in two of the last three games. Davis Mills has been using Jordan close to the line of scrimmage as he finished week 14 with four receptions (7 targets) for 26 yards and a touchdown. Rookie quarterbacks love to use their tight ends as a safety blanket, and the pass defense of the Jaguars is nothing to brag or even tell anyone about. Touchdown or bust here this week, but after seeing seven targets, why not build a stud lineup with a cheap tight end like Jordan? Just think that three catches for 38 yards and a touchdown is enough to basically 4X this week.
BONUS PLAY OF THE WEEK:
D’Onta Foreman, Running Back, Tennessee Titans ($5,200)
Before and after the bye, Foreman has been the lead back for the Derrick Henry-less Tennessee Titans and he has done well for himself carrying the ball 32 times for 156 yards and a touchdown. If you’re hesitant putting Foreman in a lineup or three, don’t be. Just because McNichols and Hilliard were also in the rotation, they saw 14 total carries and were even less efficient than Foreman was. Plus Foreman gets the most generous defense to running backs. Look at what Dalvin Cook just did to them. Play with confidence.
DEFENSE I’M PLAYING WITH CONFIDENCE:
Denver Broncos ($2,900)
Joe Burrow and company come to Mile High this weekend and what we saw week 14 from Joe Burrow, I don’t think we’ll see in week 15. Burrow has thrown an interception basically in every game based on the 14 he has. When Cincinnati plays on the road, they tend to be sling happy and Burrow sometimes hangs out in the box. I can see some sacks coming Burrow’s way, along with an interception or two.
Good luck this week!