Welcome to week 11 my friends as we get you prepared for some great bargain plays this week. Let’s review last week’s bargain plays and see if they were a hit or a miss.
Carson Wentz, QB, Indianapolis Colts ($5,900): 7.1 points
Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos ($5,000): 6.9 points
Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills ($4,700): 11.9 points
Russell Gage, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($5,000): 0 points
Tre’Quan Smith, WR, New Orleans Saints ($4,300): 14.4 points
Pat Freiermuth, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers ($3,900): 7.1 points
Ty Johnson, RB, New York Jets ($4,500) 8.8 points
Tennessee Titans ($2,600): 6 points
Carson Wentz crapped the bed last week and didn’t deliver like we all expected, throwing for all of 180 yards and no touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor dominated and his dominance is going to continue. Oh Denver, the stats show a 50/50 split, but Javonte Williams‘ snap percentage is going up. Week 11 won’t be a “Javonte week” but I have a slight feeling he’ll be in next week’s article. Hello there Devin Singletary getting back-to-back weeks of 13 opportunities in the rushing and receiving game with a touchdown. If only Zack Moss was out and Matt Breida didn’t salt the game away in the 45-17 blowout against the Jets. Speaking of blowout… what the hell, Russell Gage! Another donut! Once this game reached halftime I assumed Atlanta was going to at least get some garbage-time fantasy points, but I guess that wasn’t part of the game plan. Three fricken targets in a 43-3 loss. We hit a dart throw that resulted in me doing a Napoleon Dynamite “YEEESSSSSS” on Tre’Quan Smith, who notched four receptions for 44 yards and a touchdown. His best game of the season along with a tie for the team lead for targets. Let’s hope the success continues this next week. Oh Pat Freiermuth, actually that whole Pittsburgh/Detroit game in general was funny as no one wanted to win. It was not a good DraftKings day for the rookie tight end, but he did have nine targets for the game. The rookie is the same price again for week 11, you just can’t use him because he’s in the Sunday night game. Oh man were we so close to 2X with Ty Johnson. Going into this game he had two receiving touchdowns. Sunday… not so much. It was the Buffalo Bills just dominating this game and it was rookie Michael Carter who dominated the backfield here. Speaking of getting dominated, how about that Washington Football Team? Yeah I never imagined the Bucs losing that one outright. Six points from your defense is nothing to brag about, and sure the five sacks and the defensive fumble recovery were good, but giving up 29 points and no interceptions? Come on, man!
What a week it wasn’t in the bargain bin going 1/8 (12.5%) for the week. That’s disgusting! But you know what? That is the truth about daily fantasy football. You win some and you lose more. But we’re here for the entertainment aspect of it and we all love winning money! Like I’ve said in the past and I’m going to remind you every week is that we get to start each week with a clean slate.
So let’s get some bargains for week 11!
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers ($5,100)
Welcome back, Cam Newton! The glory days of being in Carolina are back and Newton is ready to do it with real receivers in D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson and how can I forget Christian McCaffrey. This team around Newton is a force to reckon with compared to what he had in New England where there was…. well no one. Newton should be able to produce some yards on the ground as Chase Young is out for the year with a torn ACL and Montez Sweat who is out at least a month with a broken jaw. The konami quarterback should have a phenomenal fantasy day and should resemble the good Cam Newton that we remembered a couple years back.
David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears ($5,500)
This price for Montgomery just seems like highway robbery. Montgomery came off of IR in week 9 and managed over 80% of the snaps. Coming fresh off a bye and the rust knocked off, Montgomery should go on a run just like he did this time last year. Joe Mixon/ Samaje Perine (combined) and Dalvin Cook all went over 100 rushing yards against Baltimore. Hell last week Dolphins offensive lineman Robert Hunt had a almost touchdown… Haha, I can’t get over that one yet. You get what I mean. RB1’s have been doing pretty good lately against the Ravens’ defense as they’re not the dominant defense they were once known for. Montgomery should run the ball 15+ times, get over the century mark and have a chance to score a touchdown or two. Kind of hard not to get him in lineups with that kind of potential.
Adrian Peterson, RB, Tennessee Titans ($4,800)
Yeah, I will agree with you on this one as a head scratcher for grandpa Peterson. Many of us who also play redraft fantasy football saw D’Onta Foreman as the one with the best stat line. But do you know where they put Peterson in at? The goal line. He may not get too many yards, but if he can get a couple of goal-line touchdowns, then this value is a pretty good bargain. Ryan “Tyler” Tannehill (our own DJ Premo of Loaded Box gave him that nickname) should have no problem throwing the ball up and down the field on this Houston Texans’ defense. But what do we mainly know the Tennessee Titans for? Running the ball. You know I’ve got you thinking of putting Peterson in as one of those “f*ck it” flex plays. You never know. Could be a multiple-touchdown game or 10 carries for 13 yards. The dart throw is up to you.
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami Dolphins ($5,600)
With DaVante Parker and Will Fuller still on IR, the WR1 for the Miami Dolphins is Jaylen Waddle. Tua Tagovailoa has targeted his rookie wide receiver plenty and often. Hell, even Jacoby Brissett knew to throw to him. Over the last six weeks, Waddle has seen no less than six targets per game. Hell he’s seen 10+ targets four times already this season and has 85 targets on the season. In the past three games the New York Jets have allowed at least 13 PPR points to wide receivers with four touchdowns. I can see Waddle getting another 8+ targets this week for a chance to go off on the Jets. Waddle hasn’t had a touchdown in four straight games and I see that streak coming to an end with him leading the team in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and yes, a beautiful chance of a touchdown.
Rashod Bateman, WR, Baltimore Ravens ($4,500)
I’ve had Bateman on here a few times now and I’m not giving up on the rookie. He has had at least six targets in every game, and since the bye week, has been first or second in wide receiver team targets. He has gone up $1,500 since coming off of IR and $500 since the bye. So why is he not going up? Touchdowns. Bateman has no touchdowns on the season. He has topped 80 yards in two of his last three games or twice in two out of the five total games he’s played. He’s been a top weapon for Lamar Jackson and this week I see him exploding against the Chicago Bears’ defense that ranks near the bottom against wide receivers. Let someone else pay up for Marquise Brown ($7,100) and reap the benefits of a rookie receiver who is up and coming and is soooo close to getting that touchdown. I feel that this is the week.
Michael Gallup, WR, Dallas Cowboys ($4,200)
Last week I forgot to add Gallup to my bargain plays, but it was for the best as he didn’t have the value game I was hoping for like he did back in week 1 where he was a target monster. Last week Gallup came into DraftKings at $4,000. Due to his three catches for 42 yards, he had a down game bringing his week 11 up just $200 for $4,200. Last week the Dallas Cowboys passed early and got up quickly on the Atlanta Falcons. The receiving game was led by CeeDee Lamb and he was dominant with his two touchdowns, so there was no need to pass as the Cowboys were ahead enough and won with more of their running game. This week that should change as the Cowboys/Chiefs game has the highest projected score of the week making me want to get a piece of this game. As the rust is coming off Gallup from a nine-week absence, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see similar totals from him like what we saw in week 1 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, just over a full game slate (Gallup only played the first half and had four catches for 36 yards on seven targets!) with a great chance to get his first touchdown of the season.
Adam Trautman, TE, New Orleans Saints ($3,300)
Is it just me or doesn’t it feel like Adam Trautman is on the brink of having that game where he breaks out? Over the last three weeks Trautman has 19 targets. He had 13 over the first six games and now a switch has flipped. Is Trevor Seimian seeing someone that he should have been targeting more? Actually, yes he has, because he’s the one that’s been doing it over the last few games! He’s still looking to get his first touchdown of the season and what better game to start him in against the Philadelphia Eagles. They give up the MOST POINTS to the tight end position. Could this be the breakout game we have all been waiting for? First touchdown of the season? I will say yes to both!
BONUS PLAY OF THE WEEK:
Darrel Williams, RB, Kansas City Chiefs ($5,400)
Just like I said about Michael Gallup, I want pieces of this game. Gallup and Williams could be a good, cheap mini stack to put into lineups and build from there. Over the last three games, Williams has had at least 19 opportunities. As long as Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($5,200) is out for the week I love the value of Williams even more. Dallas has allowed three touchdowns to running backs over the last four weeks and I can see that being at least four touchdowns over the last five weeks this Sunday. I can see Edwards-Helaire being inactive for this game as Williams has been hot over the stretch and the Chiefs have a week 12 bye, so why rush him back? Patrick Mahomes knows what he needs to win and you might as well keep the hot running back in Williams out on the field and give the second-year back another week of rest.
DEFENSE I’M PLAYING WITH CONFIDENCE:
Carolina Panthers ($2,700)
SACK, SACK, SACK and more sacks for the Carolina Panthers. Over the last four weeks this defensive unit has 11 sacks. With the addition of Stephon Gilmore, this secondary has been glowing as they have four interceptions over the last three games. This needs to be a defensive unit that teams should fear. Coming into this week’s Sunday’s slate, the Panthers defense is the 14th-most expensive, yes you read that right, 14th-most expensive and they get to take on the turnover prone Tyler Heinicke and the Washington Football Team at home without their own defensive line superstars in Montez Sweat and Chase Young. I can see this offense struggling to keep up with the Panthers this week, and like I said earlier, this secondary should limit Terry McLaurin this week. I expect them to get double-digit DK points again.
Best of luck this week and be sure to check out the latest episode of the Loaded Box Podcast as we discuss our favorite against-the-spread picks for Week 11 of the 2021 NFL Season!