Welcome to week 8 my friends as we get you prepared for some great bargain plays this week. Let’s review last week’s bargain plays and see if they were a hit or a miss.
Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins ($5,500) 28.54 points
Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,100) 3.7 points
J.D. McKissic, RB, Washington Football Team ($5,000) 9.6 points
Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ( $5,900) 28.1 points
Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants ( $5,600) 0 points: swapped Mecole Hardman: 5.8 points
Rashod Bateman, WR, Baltimore Ravens ($3,400) 11 points
T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit Lions ($5,100) 10.8 points
Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots ($5,700) 28.3 points
Arizona Cardinals ($3,100) 11 points
Tua Tagovailoa had a phenomenal game against the Falcons and more than 5X for us! Congratulations if you started him! Miles Sanders went down with an ankle injury early so Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott got all the points. Process was right, but the injury bug hit Sanders. J.D. McKissic had half the game I expected plus Antonio Gibson played and it brought McKissic’s stats down, but further down than I expected. Sterling Shepard was inactive Sunday morning so I flipped it to Mecole Hardman thinking of a high-scoring game. It was a high scoring game, if you were on the Tennessee Titans side. What’s happening with the Kansas City Chiefs? Rashod Bateman had the targets but just turned it in for three catches for 80 yards. He tied once again for the target lead in targets. The value is there, it will just have to wait another week. T.J. Hockenson finished as the TE10 in DraftKings but I watched this game and I saw that the Rams made it a priority to take him out of the game and it worked. Damien Harris…..Wow, what a week finishing as the RB2 in DraftKings finishing just 0.10 behind first place D’Andre Swift. Great game rushing for 106 yards and 2 rushing touchdowns. Finally, the Arizona Cardinals defense. What a value finishing as the defense #6 allowing only 3 defensive points, 2 sacks and a fumble recovery. A hell of a game for them.
Overall, 4/9 (44%) hit wasn’t exactly what I was hoping for but it was still a good week overall. Like I’ve said before, we get to brush off the week prior and get a fresh start this week. So let’s get some bargains for week 8!
Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars ($5,500)
What a beautiful week to get Trevor Lawrence back from a bye. If you read my waiver wire article, the Seattle Seahawks have given up 300+ passing in four of the last seven games. Winston managed just 222 passing yards, but was able to put up 40 rushing yards. Trevor Lawrence has been rushing more and more as he’s been getting more comfortable in the NFL. I like Lawrence’s odds this week.
Kenny Gainwell, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,000)
Last week I had Miles Sanders here. Once again I’m going back to the Philadelphia backfield as they have a juicy matchup against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are a Swiss-cheese defense and the Eagles should have control of this game and at Gainwell’s cheap cost, I’m going to put him in as many lineups as possible.
Michael Carter, RB, New York Jets ($4,900)
Many may be thinking not to start any players against the Cincinnati Bengals, plus the loss of Zach Wilson and the trade for Joe Flacco will deter most away. Not me. With
Joe Flacco starting, many will think he’s a deep passer still. Nope, Flacco is past his prime and will be checking down like crazy to his running backs Mike White slated to get the start we should see the same Mike White again, the one that just dumped off constantly to his running backs. Last week Carter got 17.4 DK points and only went up $100. That’s a pretty good deal as we saw him catch eight of his nine targets for 67 yards. If he can do it again, he should be able to smash at 3X.
Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Buffalo Bills ($5,400)
I love Emmanuel Sanders this week. With Dawson Knox being out I expect the target share to go up for Sanders. Going into the bye Sanders had four games in a row with double-digit DK points with 13.1 being his lowest. The last time the Bills played the Dolphins, they shut them out 35-0. I don’t see that happening again as Tua Tagovailoa is back in the lineup and has been putting up some solid stats. Miami should be in comeback mode this whole game, having Josh Allen pass a little more. Stefon Diggs ($8,100) will get his fair share, but it will be Sanders at value getting the multiplier.
Jerry Jeudy, WR, Denver Broncos ($4,900)
The last time we saw Jerry Jeudy was all the way back in week 1 when he played three quarters of football and had seven targets finishing with six receptions for 72 yards. Jeudy was cleared for week 7, but the Denver Broncos decided to hold him out until this week. Man, am I excited! This kid is a beast and is definitely the missing part and spark the Denver Broncos need right now. What better game to come back to getting to go against the Washington Football Team. Teddy Bridgewater will be happy to have his receiver back and in this game where Teddy should light it up, I would gladly put Jeudy in lineups as 3X should be one that is easy to hit, and I see him coming back in an explosive way with a chance to 5X.
Russell Gage, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($4,200)
With Corderrell Patterson being the lead RB/WR on this team, Matt Ryan should continue to have 40+ attempts and with Calvin Ridley having a “down season” it’s fun and cheap to go after the No. 2 receiver on the Falcons, Russell Gage. It may not feel like a sexy pick this week but hear me out. The attempts Matt Ryan has been putting up should lead to fantasy points for Gage. Sure Kyle Pitts will get his too, but with Gage getting the CB2 or CB3/safety defending him should be a nice mismatch that we can take advantage of at this cheap price.
Rob Gronkowski, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($4,600)
Rob Gronkowski returned to a “limited” practice Wednesday and put in another one on Thursday. I am looking forward to putting him back in a lineup this week as I like to have at least one Buccaneer in all of my lineups from Tom Brady as an automatic QB in a lineup to stack with a receiver. With Antonio Brown looking to be out again this week, someone is going to need to step up. If Gronkowski is cleared to play, he’s an automatic in a lineup as he has scored four touchdowns over the first 2 weeks of the season. Being Brady’s safety blanket, Gronkowski should look like he did the first two weeks of the season as long as he’s cleared to play. When the Buccaneers are in the red zone, expect to hear Gronkowski’s name in the end zone.
BONUS PLAY OF THE WEEK:
Khalil Herbert, RB, Chicago Bears ($5,400)
Over the last three weeks Khalil Herbert has had 55 carries and 61 total touches. Last week, Herbert was the first running back this season to go over 100 yards on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Mind you he gained most of his yards in the first half, but still got over the century mark. This week the Bears get the 49ers coming to town who just gave up over 100 yards to Jonathan Taylor. Not saying Khalil Herbert is Jonathan Taylor, but when you get around 20 opportunities, Herbert should build his fourth game in a row being an RB1 at this cheap of price, you have to find a lineup or two to add Herbert in.
DEFENSE I’M PLAYING WITH CONFIDENCE:
Philadelphia Eagles ($2,700)
The Philadelphia Eagles defense should be a fun one to start this week. Sure the Detroit Lions are 0-7 and should be a cake walk, but watching them these last seven weeks, they are better than what their record shows. The reason I’m going with the Eagles: Jared Goff. Goff has thrown four interceptions over his last three games and has 8 total turnovers for the season. He’s not the future of the Detroit Lions and is just the bridge quarterback until after next season. The Eagles have plenty of playmakers on defense to make it harder for Goff and the Lions. Plus former Detroit Lions Darius Slay would like to get a little “revenge game” against his former team.
Best of luck this week and be sure to check out the latest episode of the Loaded Box Podcast as we discuss our favorite against-the-spread picks for Week 8 of the 2021 NFL Season!