Welcome to week 6 my friends as we get you prepared for some great bargain plays this week. Let’s review last week’s bargain plays and see if they were a hit or a miss.
Mac Jones, QB, New England Patriots ($5,300): 12.5 points
Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots ($5,500): 10.8 points
Kareem Hunt, RB, Cleveland Browns ($5,800): 25.9 points
CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys ($6,200): 18.8 points
Keenan Allen, WR, LA Chargers ($6,500): 13.5 points
Antonio Brown, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($5,200): 34.4 points
Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles ($3,400): 1.7 points
Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers ($7,100): 16.1 points
Raiders DST ($2,900): 3 points
I had many of you come to me and tell me 2X wasn’t enough to do anything so I set it up at 2.5-3X with the hopes of 4X. It was a challenge and I am up to it and will own up to it when I’m wrong. This week was a down week as I was 3/9 for a 33% hit rate. But you know what, that’s still good when it comes to DraftKings as we all know we lose more than we make and that’s okay, it’s part of the game. You win some and you lose some. Nice thing about DFS is you get a fresh start every week, so let’s get ready for week 6!
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals ($6,300)
Joe Burrow has only gone over 25DK points once and that was back in week 4 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. DraftKings must know something is up because Burrow barely broke 20DK points, yet they raised his salary $200. Detroit’s defense is bad. I know it as a Lions fan and I’m okay with it. Burrow should be able to throw for multiple touchdowns and have close to a 400-yard game giving that 4X you’re looking for.
D’Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions ($6,300)
Man oh man. The disrespect Swift gets from DraftKings is our reward. Sure they take on the Cincinnati Bengals whose defense is top-15 against the run, but they also give up the most receptions to running backs. DraftKings is full PPR and Swift already has 29 receptions for the season. Expect more of a receiving game from Swift than a running game, which will benefit you more here.
Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos ($5,000)
Five weeks into the season and it’s been a 50/50 split between Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams. A good division matchup against the Raiders could be the game where we see Williams put up some good stats with Melvin Gordon not practicing Wednesday with an undisclosed injury… weird… This is starting to look more like a Williams week against the Raiders who are giving up 133.3 rushing yards per game.
Keenan Allen, WR, LA Chargers ($6,400)
I’m going back-to-back weeks with Keenan Allen. He’s had double-digit targets three out of the five weeks this season and had 9 targets last week catching 6 for 75 yards. A lot might be on Mike Williams after his monster performance last week, hell, all season, so the spotlight is off of Allen. That’s when you pounce and put him in a lineup as his ownership should be low.
Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals ($5,300)
A third player from the Lions/Bengals game? Yes, at this cost you have to add an offensive weapon. Ja’Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd are also good options, but I like the cheaper, more athletic player than Boyd to play across from Chase. Higgins is about to explode and this week could be his time. He also wouldn’t be bad to add to a stack with Joe Burrow.
Van Jefferson Jr, WR, LA Rams ($3,400)
Thanks to a bad game at Seattle, it has dropped Jefferson’s cost $300 almost making him a minimum at cost player. The Giants will be coming in with a band-aid team and I think the Rams will try and get up fast to control the ball with the run game. Cooper Kupp is going to get his, but Jefferson at his cost is a boom/bust play that is well worth using as a flex play, especially if you’re looking to build a stud lineup.
Ricky Seals-Jones, TE, Washington Football Team ($3,000)
When Logan Thomas went down, the majority of “experts” didn’t see Ricky Seals-Jones being an instant contributor to the offense. Boy, were they wrong. Thomas goes down and RSJ just stepped right into the Thomas position and was targeted 8 times last week showing immediate faith in him. Kansas City is coming to town with a 2-4 record and I could see this game being a high-scoring one and RSJ should see about the same amount of targets, and should do well against a Chiefs defense who isn’t playing so well.
BONUS PLAY OF THE WEEK:
Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens ($5,900)
A $600 increase doesn’t scare me compared to what I saw from Marquise Brown on Monday night. He’s a huge deep threat for Lamar Jackson and has gotten multiple deep balls that he’s missed on, so his weekly output could really be higher than it already is. The Chargers have a good defense, but Brown has that top-end speed and should have a few deep passes thrown to him and hopefully he can connect and score a couple touchdowns, which I think that potential is there. At this price, I’m enjoying the ride.
DEFENSE IM PLAYING WITH CONFIDENCE:
Browns DST ($2600)
This Browns defense is no joke, but like every defense you have good weeks and bad weeks and last week the Browns/Chargers over/under was one of the highest for the week and again this week the Browns have another high over/under. For a cheap defense though, the way Kyler Murray has been sitting in the box I would expect him to take some sacks and throw an interception or two, which makes the Browns defense, at its cost, one to use for a cheap price.
Best of luck this week and be sure to check out the latest episode of the Loaded Box Podcast as we discuss our favorite against-the-spread picks for Week 6 of the 2021 NFL Season!