Welcome to week 5 my friends as we get you prepared for some great bargain plays this week. Let’s review last week’s bargain plays and see if they were a hit or a miss.
Taylor Heinicke ($5,900) 27.9 points
D’Andre Swift ($6,200) 8.9 point
Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($5,400) 22.4 points
Amari Cooper ($6,000) 15.9 points
Robert Woods ($5,300) 14.8 points
Robby Anderson ($5,100) 9.9 points
Dawson Knox ($3,600) 20.7 points
Packers DST ($3,300) 7 points
David Montgomery ($5,800) 25.6 points
Eight out of nine hits for a 88.8% hit rate is awesome for us on week 4! Robby Anderson almost 2X, so I am taking it as a positive for our bargain plays and what a massive improvement from last week’s 44%. If you DraftKings players used any of my recommendations, please send a screenshot or hit me up on Twitter with your lineups. We want to see them!
Now onto week 5 and let’s see if we can get closer to hitting them all!
Mac Jones, QB, New England Patriots ($5,300)
The rookie didn’t do too bad going up against the GOAT, Tom Brady, in Gillette Stadium Sunday night compiling 275 yards and 2 touchdowns on 41 attempts. The breakout of this kid is coming. He only put up 17.9 points last week but he gets the Houston Texans’ defense that has just been giving up yards and touchdowns. Jakobi Meyers is still looking to score his first touchdown of the season, and this could be the week he does while Mac goes off.
Kareem Hunt, RB, Cleveland Browns ($5,800)
Yes the split between Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb is very annoying, but when close to the goal-line the Browns have been giving Hunt the ball as he already has 3 rushing touchdowns on the season. This week I can see him being more of a pass-catching back and scoring a touchdown through the air.
Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots ($5,500)
So nice I’m doing it twice! That’s right, I’m playing two New England Patriots this week. Damien Harris has been disappointing the last two weeks, so let’s take advantage of his bargain price here as he has scored less than 8 DK points combined over these last two weeks. Also, it’s worth noting that the Texans have given up over 100 rushing yards to running backs each week since week 2.
Keenan Allen, WR, LA Chargers ($6,500)
For the third consecutive week Keenan Allen has dropped $100 and now is the time to pounce. Last week Allen led the Chargers with 11 targets while the next closest was Jared Cook with seven. Mike Williams has been the hot commodity since the start of the season but had a massive cool down in week 4. Look for Allen to get back on track week 5 and be the PPR monster that we love who should be around 100 yards and a touchdown.
CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys ($6,200)
Last week I recommended Amari Cooper. This week I am going with his teammate CeeDee Lamb. Lamb dropped $500 in cost this week, being the cheapest he’s been since week 1. Division rivalries are fun and I expect Lamb to have a rebound game this week after two mediocre weeks.
Antonio Brown, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($5,200)
When you can get any of Tom Brady’s pass catchers on the cheap, you take advantage of it. Brown has only gone up $200 after coming off of an 11-target game. He plays for a good WR3 or FLEX at this cost as he has a chance to more than 2X this value with the potential of 4X. No joke.
Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles ($3,400)
Drops $100 for what reason? Don’t care, so let’s take advantage of it! Zach Ertz has seen 15 targets over the last two weeks including three red-zone targets in week 4. Dalton Schultz caught 6 of 8 targets for 58 yards and a touchdown last week against Carolina and now I expect a touchdown for Ertz this week as Jalen Hurts has eyes for him in the red-zone.
BONUS PLAY OF THE WEEK:
Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers ($7,100)
This week we are paying up for a sure-fire WR1 week once again from Deebo Samuel. Whether it’s Jimmy Garoppolo or Trey Lance under center, it doesn’t matter, they both have eyes for Samuel and the hot streak should continue. He is averaging 25.2 DK points per week and this week should be no different, especially against the Arizona Cardinals’ secondary.
DEFENSE I’M PLAYING WITH CONFIDENCE:
Raiders DST ($2,900)
The Raiders have one of the top-ranked pass rushes and the Chicago Bears have one of the worst offensive lines. Justin Fields has been named the starter going forward, but his performances have been rather lackluster so far. Remember his first start when he took nine sacks? Yeah, I don’t see nine sacks coming this week but I see the Raiders putting plenty of pressure on Fields and company.
Best of luck this week and be sure to check out the latest episode of the Loaded Box Podcast as we discuss our favorite against-the-spread picks for Week 5 of the 2021 NFL Season!