QB: Josh Rosen, Sam Bradford, Mike Glennon
It’s really Bradford vs. Rosen here, and it’s going to be really interesting to see how this plays out in camp. Bradford has the pedigree and the in-game experience, but everyone knows what his Achilles heel is – even though ironically given all of the injuries he’s suffered, he’s never actually hurt his Achilles.
Rosen is the guy in my opinion. Nothing against Bradford, but it’s the high floor/low ceiling vs. low ceiling/high floor debate, and Rosen is a guy you can grab late in redraft leagues and hope for the best. In all honesty, probably avoid the entire Arizona QB situation in redraft leagues unless you’re waiting into the later rounds for a QB and go someplace else.
For dynasty purposes, Rosen definitely provides a lot of intrigue and sits as the QB2 in this draft class for me behind Baker Mayfield. He’s one of those guys that the more you watch the tape of, the more impressed you get because his mechanics just seem so strong. Yes, he has some injury concerns underneath his belt, but for a player being drafted in the 17-20 range in rookie drafts, the reward outweighs the risk here.
As for Glennon, he’s only fantasy relevant in leagues that start five non-CFL, XFL, or AFL QBs and give points for eyebrow camouflage.
RBs: David Johnson, Chase Edmonds
OK all I really have to say about Johnson is this – Alvin Kamara had a pretty good year last year in PPR leagues, right? Finished as the RB3 even though he didn’t really factor into the first few games.
In 2016, Johnson scored 93.4 more points than Kamara did last year.
If Johnson had the same season he did in 2016 last year, the great year of the running back, Johnson would have been the RB1.
By 24 points.
Johnson is what us industry folk like to call “very good at football” and he’s rightfully placed in the conversation amongst the top-three RBs next year. If you somehow got him at a discount in dynasty leagues last year right after he got injured, props to you. I’m jealous.
Oh. Edmonds is a good handcuff, but meh.
WRs: Larry Fitzgerald, JJ Nelson, Christian Kirk, Chad Williams, Brice Butler
For three years now, we’ve been wondering *this is the year that Fitzgerald slows down* and it just never happens. As a matter of fact, his average over the last three years of 108 receptions/1,131 yards/7 touchdowns is pretty close to his three-year stretch from 10 YEARS AGO in 2007 to 2009 when he averaged 98 receptions/1,311 yards/12 touchdowns.
I FULLY expect Fitz to put up solid WR1 numbers and wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a top-10 WR until he retires. He just doesn’t seem like he wants to slow down any time soon, and if you can scoop him for cheap in dynasty leagues, I’d happily pay an early second rounder for him if I needed a WR upgrade for the next couple years.
Kirk is the only other WR in Arizona worth mentioning, but he’s worth more than just mentioning in my book. He’s actually my WR1 in this rookie class (even though he’s not the quickest) because I think his skill set complements Fitz really nicely, and when Rosen takes over at QB, Kirk is going to get his shot. It will be interesting to see how he and Fitz share slot duties, but I think they’ll figure it out. I’m happily taking him as the first WR off the board in rookie drafts and looking to invest heavily in redraft as well.
TEs: Ricky Seals-Jones
Seals-Jones just seems like a whole lot of blah to me. And that’s not his fault – it’s more of an issue I have with the TE position overall outside of the top four guys. Am I saying you should avoid him on draft day? No. Am I saying you should actively seek him on draft day? No. Am I saying he’s going to have a good year and surprise people? No. Am I saying he’s going to be a bust? Also no. My thing about RSJ is that there are a lot of mouths to feed in Arizona, and with Kirk coming in and Johnson coming back, I’m passing on a TE who had 12 receptions for 201 yards and three touchdowns all of last year. I’d much rather take Vance McDonald (looks to have an expanded role), Austin Hooper (more upside), or Cameron Brate (more of a TD threat) who all are within 20 picks of RSJ’s ADP than Seals-Jones.
Be sure to check out the latest episodes of the Loaded Box Podcast as the guys are joined by Andrew Erickson of Gridiron Experts (Running Backs) and Mitchell Renz of Chat Sports (Wide Receivers) to play the fantasy football version of “Would You Rather”