NFL Betting Guide: Super Bowl Sunday

We already know the weekly NFL bettors will be all over this game, but the Super Bowl brings out the degenerate in everyone.  So whether it’s your weekly tradition to bet on football games, or this is the one game you’ll drop a few dollars on, take a look at the NFL betting guide for Super Bowl Sunday!

Latest podcast: Super Bowl 52 Preview w/ Miami Dolphins defensive tackle, Vincent Taylor

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots (-4.5)

Sunday, February 4, 2018 @ 5:30pm (CST) on NBC
U.S. Bank Stadium – Minneapolis, MN

Straight Up & Against The Spread Records

Philadelphia: 15-3 straight up; 12-6 against the spread
New England: 15-3 straight up; 12-6 against the spread

2017/18 Playoffs Against the Spread Records

Philadelphia: 2-0
New England: 1-1

Last 5 Games Straight Up & Against the Spread

Philadelphia: 4-1 SU; 2-3 ATS
New England: 5-0 SU; 4-1 ATS

How They Got Here

Philadelphia
– Wild Card Weekend: BYE
– Divisional Round: Defeated Atlanta Falcons, 15-10
– NFC Championship: Defeated Minnesota Vikings, 38-7

New England
– Wild Card Weekend: BYE
– Divisional Round: Defeated Tennessee Titans, 35-14
– AFC Championship: Defeated Jacksonville Jaguars, 24-20

Offensive Statistics (based on 2017 regular season)

Philadelphia
– 28.6 points per game (t-2nd)
– 365.8 total yards per game (7th)
– 233.6 passing yards per game (13th)
– 132.2 rushing yards per game (3rd)

New England
– 28.6 points per game (2nd)
– 394.2 total yards per game (1st)
– 276.1 passing yards per game (2nd)
– 118.1 rushing yards per game (10th)

Defensive Statistics (based on 2017 regular season)

Philadelphia
– 18.4 points allowed per game (4th)
– 306.5 total yards allowed per game (4th)
– 227.3 passing yards allowed per game (17th)
– 79.2 rushing yards allowed per game (1st)

New England
– 18.5 points allowed per game (5th)
– 366.0 total yards allowed per game (29th)
– 251.3 passing yards allowed per game (30th)
– 114.9 rushing yards allowed per game (20th)

Prediction

New England 31, Philadelphia 24

As long as the spread stays under six, I’m taking the Patriots.

Philadelphia’s defense has played out of its mind in the playoffs, but it hasn’t faced the likes of Tom Brady and the Patriots’ offense.  Instead, the Eagles held a struggling Falcons’ offense to 10 points before allowing just seven to the Vikings, who despite performing better on offense than most predicted this season, aren’t on the same level as the Patriots who finished second in points and first in total yards per game in the NFL in 2017.

I hate to play the “what if” card, but if Carson Wentz was playing this Sunday, this game would be on par with the intriguing Super Bowl matchups we’ve had recently.  Instead, we’ll be graced with the presence of Nick Foles – who did look like a quality-starting quarterback against the Vikings – but the total body of work of Foles’ career doesn’t lead me to believe he’ll get it done in the Super Bowl against a team that’s made it an annual tradition of playing in this game.

Here’s one advantage I give the Eagles.  Bill Belichick is one of the best coaches in NFL history when it comes to preparing for a team on a week-to-week basis.  Belichick doesn’t need the additional week to make adjustments to his game plan or strategy for facing an unfamiliar opponent.

The extra week will allow for Doug Peterson and the Eagles’ coaching staff to sort of “catch up” in regards to the advantage the Patriots have in the coaching department.

But at the end of the day, we’re talking about Belichick coaching in his eighth Super Bowl with the Patriots against Pederson who’s in his second season as a head coach in the NFL.  Once again it’s advantage Patriots, and that’s the side to invest your money on Super Bowl Sunday.

For more information regarding Super Bowl 52, check out our latest podcast episode where we were joined by defensive tackle of the Miami Dolphins, Vincent Taylor.

Ben Morgan is a co-host and blogger for the Loaded Box Podcast.  Check out his article archive and find more from the Loaded Box on Twitter & Facebook

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