As of now, the players listed in this article are in as my top-5 wide receivers for the 2022 NFL Draft class. I’ve listed them in order from my favorite to least favorite, but would be remiss not to mention that my rankings are done in tiers.
Ahead of the draft, the first four receivers are in tier-one and then Chris Olave is in tier-two (sorry, Chris). While Olave is on the outside looking in, I do have to say that he’s just barely outside of the tier. To be honest, he’s sitting in a tier of his own in my rankings because I like him a bit more than the few guys I have after him, but I also don’t think he shares the same upside as the four guys ahead of him so I just couldn’t throw him in there.
Anyway, in this article I will review the range of outcomes for each player and give my input as to where the best possible landing spot will be for each of them for maximum fantasy production. I know that we’re not supposed to let landing spots change our views on the receivers too much… but that’s why I favor a tiered ranking system. With how close Olave is to scratching the first tier, he could sneak in if he lands in the perfect spot… but he’s the only receiver in my entire rankings that I’d consider giving a tier-bump to based off of landing spot.
Garrett Wilson, Ohio State
Wilson is the favorite to be the 1st receiver selected on draft day, but it’s far from a lock. Then again, it seems highly unlikely that he’d fall out of the top-15 picks. While there are five or six teams that could legitimately look Wilson’s way, we think he’ll come off of the board at #8 to Atlanta or #10 to the Jets. Either of these spots would be fine for his fantasy value, but he’ll have more of an immediate impact if he goes to Atlanta.
The Falcons are starved for a WR1 this year, and Wilson being drafted there would make him their immediate #1 (depending on how we’re counting Kyle Pitts). Wilson is not shy when it comes to finding the endzone, but he’s not exactly a force to be reckoned with in the red zone, which would make him and Pitts a fun 1-2 punch for Marcus Mariota and the Falcons in 2022. While the Jets wouldn’t be a bad landing spot, competing for targets with Elijah Moore, a player with a somewhat similar playstyle, could be a bit of a hit to his long-term upside. If I have it my way, Garrett Wilson will be drafted by Atlanta at #8 overall in the NFL Draft.
Jameson Williams, Alabama
If Williams didn’t get hurt he’d have a real shot at being the first receiver drafted in 2022. However, given that he’ll still be rehabbing at the time of the draft, he could slip a bit farther than he should. While it is definitely possible for him to be a top-15 pick, I’ve currently got him going somewhere in the #16 to #30 range.
Jamo is arguably my favorite receiver in this class and I think he’s got the highest fantasy ceiling. However, landing with a quarterback that won’t be able to make the most of his talents would really bring him down. The best landing spots for him? Either the Chargers at pick #17 or the Packers at pick #22.
I’m going to call the Chargers the “1B” landing spot for Williams. Sure, he’d be sharing a field with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams (which would bring down his short term value), but he’ll also be locked to Justin Herbert for the first 4-5 years of his career. Jamo would factor in as the WR3 of this offense when healthy, but would grow his role as time went on. Allen and Mike Williams are both under contract until the 2024 season, but Allen is already 30 and Mikey Wills has been inconsistent over the last few years. If Dak Prescott was able to support three solid fantasy receivers in the 2020 season, Herbert should have no problem doing it too.
The Packers are definitely the “1A” choice for Jamo, especially if he can get healthy in time for training camp. Williams would come in and be the fastest player that Aaron Rodgers has ever thrown the ball to. Jamo has solid hands and is consistent enough in that department to quickly gain Rodgers’ trust. Many are speculating that Allen Lazard could be the WR1 in Green Bay this year, but that title is going to go to whoever the Packers take in round one… and I REALLY hope that it’s going to be Jameson Williams.
Treylon Burks, Arkansas
Burks is liked more in the fantasy football community than he seems to be by the scouts. However, he is still favored to be a round one selection on draft day. It’s tough to imagine him going in the top-20 (maybe Philly takes him at #18), but it’s even tougher to imagine him falling out of the first round entirely.
In our latest mock draft, Burks fell to pick #29, where Kansas City snagged him with their first (of two) 1st-round pick. Sure, he’s got a chance to head to Dallas at #24, Buffalo at #25 or Tennessee at #26, but Kansas City is far and away the best chance he’s got to become an elite fantasy asset.
In Kansas City, JuJu Smith-Schuster, a guy who missed most of 2021 and has never taken a snap for the Chiefs, is currently the WR1 on the roster. They also have inconsistent speedsters Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Mecole Hardman, and tight-end extraordinaire, Travis Kelce. Obviously, Kelce is a massive red zone target for Patrick Mahomes, but JuJu, MVS and Hardman are not. The Chiefs have been missing a big-bodied perimeter receiver for quite some time, and Burks could finally complete the puzzle for them. I know every year we say, “whichever receiver ends up in Kansas City will be the WR1” and it’s usually a total embellishment. However, Burks would be the best candidate to make that statement come true and would immediately be thrown into the 1.01 conversation for many.
Drake London, USC
London has quickly become a beloved player in the fantasy community, and he seems to be getting that same love from NFL scouts. He’s just as likely as Garrett Wilson to be the first receiver off of the board and is another guy that I don’t see falling out of the top-15.
Atlanta would be a great spot for London, but I think there is a spot that would be even better… and nobody is going to like what I’m about to say. My favorite landing spot for Drake London’s fantasy value is Houston.
The Texans own pick #13 in the draft and have MANY holes on their roster that need to be filled. Sure, they just re-signed Brandin Cooks, but outside of him, their best receiver is the unproven Nico Collins… and he just doesn’t bring the same upside that London would. While I wouldn’t go as far as calling London the immediate WR1 in Houston (give Cooks some respect), he would be an instant impact player and would likely be a top-50 fantasy option at WR in year one. If Davis Mills continues to take strides in 2022, I see no reason as to why these two couldn’t develop a beautiful chemistry.
And think about it this way, if any team is going to be playing a lot of games from behind, it’s going to be Houston. If any team has an excuse to force feed a rookie receiver as they play catch up, it’s going to be Houston. Drake London can be a fantasy stud in many places, but the best (realistic) landing spot for him? It’s going to be Houston.
Chris Olave, Ohio State
For many, these five receivers are near locks to be 1st round selections, and I’d have to agree with that take. Even though I have Olave ranked lower than Burks, I have to admit that it would shock me more to see Olave fall out of the first round than it would if Burks did.
I could see Olave going as early as pick #11 or as late as pick #32… but he will be a first rounder. I don’t think there’s necessarily a “bad spot” for him. If I had to choose my least favorite, it would be Dallas because of the target competition, but even that wouldn’t be the end of the world.
However, I did previously mention that Olave could get a tier-bump in my rankings if he lands with the right team… and that team is the Green Bay Packers. He’s got a different set of skills than Jameson Williams (although, don’t you dare knock Jamo’s route-running) but would feel the same positive impact from this landing spot. Like I said, whichever rookie receiver ends up in Green Bay is likely going to be their go-to guy. Do I think Olave ends up in Green Bay? Honestly, I don’t. I see them going for speed with Williams or going for a big-bodied receiver like Burks or London. They could easily bring in Jarvis Landry to fill a role that Olave would’ve had, so them taking a different route in the draft could allow them to further diversify their offense.
Regardless of landing spot, Olave is one of the safest options at wide receiver in this draft. His ceiling is not the same as the other four WRs mentioned (which is why I have him in a tier lower), but he does have a top-3 “floor” in this class. He doesn’t strike me as a guy that’ll have multiple WR1 seasons in fantasy football, but he does seem like that super-safe WR2 that you can rely on in a weekly basis. He’ll be good, but his outcome of “being great” is going to be capped as a pro.
Ahhh what the heck, I’ll list my favorite landing spots for my next five guys as well:
David Bell, Purdue
Buffalo or Green Bay at the end of the 2nd round.
George Pickens, Georgia
Chicago or New England in the middle of the 2nd round.
Skyy Moore, Western Michigan
He could sneak into the 1st round with Kansas City, but my preferred spot would be Indianapolis at pick #42.
Jahan Dotson, Penn State
Chicago or Cleveland in the early stages of the 2nd round.
Christian Watson, North Dakota
I’m not a massive fan of Watson, but he could see a bump in my rankings if he lands with Detroit or Atlanta at the start of the 2nd round.
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